The International Joint Commission (IJC) has recently proposed a new plan for regulating the levels and flows of Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence River. The new plan, Plan Bv7, will replace the current Plan 1958DD, which has been in place since 1960.
Incorrect information is circulating about Plan Bv7 and its goals. This page highlights several myths that have been circulating about Plan Bv7 and provides the facts.
MYTH: Plan Bv7 is a radical new approach to regulation that will bring much higher and lower lake levels.
FACT: Plan BV7 is a balanced approach that protects property owners and benefits the environment without increasing the risk of flooding to shoreline property. The plan will restore beaches, dunes, and wetlands that have been hurt by 50 years of regulation under the current plan.
Plan BV7 is not a radical change. Under the current plan lake levels fluctuate within a certain range. Plan Bv7 will only exceed this range by 2-3 inches in very rare instances (once a century).
MYTH: Plan Bv7 will cause severe damage to property on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, with much higher costs to property owners.
FACT: When compared an unregulated system, Plan Bv7 will save shoreline property owners $24 million dollars a year by reducing the cost of maintaining shoreline properties.
The current regulation and Plan Bv7 cannot stop the process of erosion. Plan Bv7, however, helps by restoring the periodic low levels that rebuild shorelines. In some areas, once sandy beaches have been replaced with rocks and cobbles. This is a result of the current plan’s elimination of naturally occurring low water conditions.
MYTH: The IJC hasn’t demonstrated that an increased range of levels is necessary or natural in the Great Lakes.
FACT: This is false. Regulation has eliminated the natural cycles in Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence River causing serious damage to our wetlands and coastal habitats. At least 15 studies, by 6 different groups, have been conducted in North American lake systems and have been supported by scientific studies conducted around the globe. These studies show that stabilized water levels hurt the environment. For example, plant species like cattails quickly establish dense mats where few other plant species can grow. Cattail mats expand and crowd out native wetland communities like meadow marsh. With fluctuating water levels, conditions do not favor a particular species most of the time; therefore, a greater diversity of plants and animals results.
MYTH: Plan Bv7 was developed to protect only muskrats and not property owners.
FACT: Plan BV7 simultaneously protects property owners and benefits the environment and economy. The IJC uses muskrats to measure the health of our coastal wetland ecosystems. Muskrats are a ‘keystone’ species – a species that plays a role in an ecosystem similar to the role of a keystone in an arch. An arch will collapse without its keystone. Healthy muskrat populations represent stronger ecosystem.
Plan Bv7 will restore more natural fluctuations to Lake Ontario and enable muskrats to return to the coastal marshes. This will benefit the lake and river ecosystem. This will also provide boost to the economy by increasing sporting opportunities like fishing, hunting and trapping boating and bird watching to name a few.
MYTH: Plan Bv7 was hastily put together and is based on “untested science”.
FACT: This is false. There are few plans that have been studied more extensively than Plan Bv7. The plan is based on a 5-year, $20 million study that included intensive public input and scientific consultation. More than 180 stakeholder representatives, experts, and scientists from government agencies, academia, NGO’s and industry in New York, Ontario, and Quebec worked on this plan. Their research has been published in at least four peer-reviewed scientific journals.
MYTH: The IJC promised property owners that lake levels would be kept between 243.3 and 247.3 feet, and Plan Bv7 goes back on this promise.
FACT: The IJC never made this promise and 1958DD could not meet this goal.
In its original order, the IJC stated lake levels should be kept between 243.3 and 247.3 feet “as nearly as may be” as long as historic water patterns continued. However, the amount of water entering the lake increased drastically after the regulation plan went into effect. As a result, the current regulation plan exceeded 247.3 feet at least 4 times over the past 50 years. In 1993, the lake exceeded this 247.3 feet by nearly 10 inches. In 1973, the lake exceeded it by a foot.
MYTH: A few bureaucrats cooked up Plan Bv7 in secret without consulting stakeholders.
FACT: The formulation of Plan Bv7 was public and exhaustive. The approval process is open to everyone. Since January 2012 over 27 different organizations and 30 businesses have expressed support for the approach exemplified by Plan Bv7.
Plan Bv7 was developed with extensive input from more than 180 stakeholder representatives, experts, and scientists from government agencies, academia, NGO’s and industry in New York, Ontario, and Quebec. The extensive scientific data supporting this plan can be found at the IJC’s site .
MYTH: The IJC did not evaluate the wave damage to houses, which is the main cause of damage.
FACT: Scientists used a 40-year record of wave heights and direction based on data from gages and buoys in the lake. The IJC used this information to develop a sophisticated model that evaluates the degree of storm surge that will result from each plan at different seasons of the year.
MYTH: Plan Bv7 will erode away barrier beaches and dunes.
FACT: Plan Bv7 will restore our dune systems. Dunes naturally rebuild during periods of low water. The current regulation plan does not let this happen. Plan Bv7 will.
